Market participants believe that judging from the current trend of the NT and the international environmental situation, it is expected that the NT dollar will return to the 30-yuan barrier, which will create favorable conditions for the electronics industry.
To be fair, the ups and downs of the exchange rate involve complex changes. It is necessary to consider the economy, commodity prices, oil prices, financial situation at home and abroad, and the global economic situation. Of course, the depreciation of the NT dollar is beneficial to the export industry and it is seen in the eyes of export-oriented electronic manufacturers. Many of the electronic industries that have suffered from the exchange rate, such as panel makers, are under pressure from huge financial losses and seem to have been relieved by a certain amount of relief.
Only from another perspective, does the central bank's decision to let the New Taiwan dollar devaluate at this time mean that the environment of the electronics industry will deteriorate in the second half of the year, forcing the Taiwan central bank to use the strength of the exchange rate to help Taiwan's export industry, so Will Taiwan’s NT move “default†at this time? This is also a question worth pondering.
Judging from the current industry sentiment, due to the unsatisfactory sales of terminal applications, in general, the bad news is still more than good news. Panels, DRAM, LED, and solar energy = industries have all witnessed successive reductions, production cuts, mandatory employee vacations, and slower investment speeds. It is expected that there will be plenty of help from the government. On the contrary, there are not many companies that can spread good news. Apple (Apple) suppliers are the most eye-catching, iPhone 5 is on the market soon, and the supply chain effect of iPad 3's output is expected to begin to emerge in the fourth quarter of 2011, becoming the main growth supporting the performance of related businesses.
In terms of the fourth quarter, although traditional festivals such as the 11th National Day holiday in China, Thanksgiving Day in Europe and the US, and Christmas Day are in effect, under the shadow of the overall poor economy in the world, electronic manufacturers are now facing the fourth quarter of the term. The demand does not dare to hold too much expectation. Terminal manufacturers' willingness to stock inventory also appears negative, and the overall atmosphere is still depressed.
If the central bank let go of the devaluation of the new Taiwan dollar, the factors that will worsen the electronics industry environment in the second half of the year will be taken into consideration. As a result, export-oriented exporters may not be overjoyed because even if there is an exchange rate With the help of this, you can breathe a little, but the predicament of the environment is still not much changed. Manufacturers are still bound to find a suitable place for their own development in a difficult environment, quickly set aside the idea of ​​relying on the exchange rate to get out of difficulty. Is the best policy!
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