[New energy vehicles compete for carts and electricity separation, and energy storage "golden partner" car companies to develop new application market] In the list of 28 "first batch of new energy microgrid demonstration projects" released by the National Development and Reform Commission in May last year, there are 25 One project has increased the energy storage or energy storage unit, which also indicates that energy storage will become a key supporting technology for the energy Internet new energy utilization model.
Judging from the sales data released in the past, the sales figures of domestic mainstream new energy vehicles in May have reached new highs. The primary factor is that the subsidy adjustment period will be approached in June, and car companies and 4S stores will sprint sales.
At the beginning of this year, the Notice of the Ministry of Finance on Adjusting and Improving the Financial Subsidy Policy for the Promotion and Application of New Energy Vehicles states that the transition period from February 12, 2018 to June 11, 2018 is the national new energy vehicle subsidy. During the period, the new energy passenger car on the license will be subsidized 0.7 times of the 2017 subsidy standard. After June 11th, it will be officially calculated according to the 2018 subsidy standard. The subsidy for the model with the cruising range of 150 km or less under the new regulations will be directly cancelled.
At this point, the new energy vehicle enterprises relying on the “Zhanhao Shenqi†to open the situation have to turn around and turn to the research and development and production of vehicles with longer battery life and higher battery energy density. At the same time, they will actively face the post-subsidy market and embrace new business models and development. The new application market strives to compete with traditional fuel vehicles.
Competing for "early taste" new energy vehicles
On the evening of May 6, Lifan disclosed the plan for the increase. The company plans to raise funds of no more than 2.48 billion yuan to invest in new energy vehicle projects. According to the announcement of this fixed plan, Lifan's fundraising will be invested in smart new energy vehicle energy station project, smart new energy vehicle 1.6 billion watt-hour lithium battery project, intelligent lightweight quick-change pure electric vehicle platform development, new energy SUV models are developed and repaid. Lifan will build a complete intelligent new energy automobile industry chain with the “energy station†as the core, technology research and development and core parts manufacturing in the power-exchange mode.
In November 2017, BAIC New Energy released the “Optimus Prime Planâ€, which aims to integrate new energy vehicles, power batteries, power stations and photovoltaic power generation through power exchange and battery recycling technologies. Power generation, power supply and off-grid operation, and intelligent management of multiple distributed optical storage and power stations through cloud platform big data to meet the rapid replenishment of new energy vehicles.
The Yundu Auto, which is also a new force in the car, also held a strategic conference in Beijing, announcing that it will launch a three-year, 50% repurchase plan, taking into account the depreciation of the main components such as the chassis, body and three electric vehicles. Most of the compromise is also the value of the battery.
In addition to the above three, it is said that there are undisclosed car companies have developed detailed plans, will gradually introduce a marketing model of car and electricity separation. In addition to directly stimulating sales, the move has enabled the public to see the new energy industry gradually mature, bringing market opportunities for the decommissioning of vehicle power batteries.
"Landscape" is infinite and lacks energy storage "golden partner"
As a part of the new energy industry, the power battery equipped with new energy vehicles is also the most ideal energy storage medium recognized by the parties in the renewable energy industry represented by “sceneryâ€. Mobile energy storage stations store wind and photovoltaic power to smooth the impact of such unstable power on the grid. With the change of battery charge and discharge control technology, this model that has been conceived by the energy circle for many years has become a reality. It is reported that the current BYD E5 to achieve this function, Geely Emgrand EV also accept orders for such products.
As we all know, in recent years, new energy power generation, represented by photovoltaic power generation and wind power generation, has achieved rapid development. The data shows that in 2017, the national wind power installed capacity of 15.03GW, the cumulative installed capacity of 164GW; photovoltaic power generation installed capacity of 53.06GW, the cumulative installed capacity reached 13 billion kilowatts. However, due to instability, difficulty in consumption, etc., abandoning wind and abandoning light have become a major problem that restricts the development of renewable energy. In addition, in the rise of distributed photovoltaic, offshore wind power and other diverse power generation modes, the market is on power storage. The demand is growing.
According to the goal of the 13th Five-Year Plan for Renewable Energy, by 2020, China's photovoltaic power generation capacity will reach 105GW (currently completed in advance), and wind power will reach 210GW. According to the forecast, according to the average storage energy storage capacity of about 10%, during the “13th Five-Year Plan†period, there will be more than 30GW of market space for supporting energy storage in wind power stations in China alone; plus a larger user-side and FM market, storage The market size is expected to exceed 60GW.
In order to support and promote the development of energy storage, in January this year, the Southern Power Grid Regulatory Authority issued the “Regulations on the Operation and Management of Grid-Connected Operation of Electrochemical Energy Storage Power Stations in the Southern Region (Trial)†to incorporate the electrochemical energy storage power station into management and storage. If the power station enters the charging state according to the instructions of the power dispatching agency, it shall compensate the charging power according to the statistics of the charging peaking service provided. The specific compensation standard is 0.05 million yuan/MWh. The release of this compensation standard has caused great repercussions in the industry, which is a major positive for the energy storage industry in recent years.
In addition, 25 of the 28 “First New Energy Microgrid Demonstration Projects†issued by the National Development and Reform Commission in May last year added electricity storage or energy storage units, which also indicates that energy storage will become a new energy source for energy Internet. The key supporting technology of the model.
At the same time, with the accumulation of mileage and the rapid increase in the user experience brought by new technologies and new models, the first batch of new energy vehicles entering the market in China in 2018 also ushered in the scrapping tide. According to the prediction of China Automotive Technology and Research Center, the average life of power battery is 5-8 years. Its performance is attenuated with the increase of charging times. When the battery capacity is reduced to less than 80% of the rated capacity, the power battery is no longer suitable for electric power. car. However, after the decommissioned batteries have been tested, maintained, reorganized, etc., they can still be further used in many fields such as energy storage, distributed photovoltaic power generation, household electricity, and low-speed electric vehicles. Combined with factors such as automobile scrap years and power battery life, from 2018 to 2020, the total number of scrapped power batteries in the country will reach 120,000 to 200,000 tons, and the amount of “discarded†will be 14.03GWh, which is calculated based on the recovery value of lithium batteries of 0.3 yuan/Wh. The power lithium battery recycling market is close to 5 billion yuan. By 2020, this market will exceed 10 billion yuan, and the scrap will be about 20 times that of 2016. At that time, the use of power battery ladders will undoubtedly be applied to the energy storage market, and will certainly become an opportunity for the rapid expansion of the energy storage market.
At present, in addition to the introduction of new energy vehicle companies to change the power mode, "embrace" the renewable energy industry, including Ningde era, AVIC lithium battery, BAK battery, lion technology and other battery companies are also laying out the use of power batteries, And it has been applied to distributed ground power stations, marine energy storage and other fields.
"You have the resources I need," and the cooperation is naturally natural. It is hoped that after the new energy vehicles enter the renewable energy field, they can improve the short-term energy storage market and promote greater and more powerful steps in the “big business†of China's energy structure upgrading.
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