According to the latest database, the US Energy Agency (DOE) recently predicted that the penetration rate of light-emitting diode (LED) lighting in the general lighting market will reach 84% in 2030, which is a significant increase from the forecast of 74% in the previous year. Upgrade. The latest report, "Solid-State Energy-Efficient Lighting in General Lighting Applications," is available for free from the National Lighting Bureau's official website ()
According to the DOE analysis, in 2013, LED lighting sales accounted for only 3% of the total lighting market share, but by 2020, this number will increase to 48%, accounting for about half of the US general lighting market sales. It is predicted that by 2030, LED will dominate the eight major markets of the lighting market, five types of indoor lighting and three types of outdoor lighting.
The indoor lighting sub-market includes:
General-Service market
Decorative-Lamp market
Directional light (Directional) market
Linear-Fixture market
High bay light (Low/High Bay) market
Outdoor lighting sub-markets include:
Streetlights (Street/Roadway) market
Parking lot (Parking) market
Building exterior lighting (Building-Exterior) market
The DOE predicts that road lighting, such as LED street lights, will initially occupy some of its sub-markets and develop most rapidly. It is estimated that in 2020, LED will account for 83% of the road lighting market share, which will reach 100% in 2030. The penetration rate of LEDs is second in the market for general-purpose service lamps, and it is recommended to reach 55% market share by 2020. Since then, the LED market penetration rate will gradually accelerate, and it is expected to occupy 100% of the market by 2030.
The Ministry of Energy reported that in 2013, lighting accounted for about 17% of the total electricity in the United States, hoping to rely on LED products to reduce the energy consumption of US lighting, down 15% in 2020 and 40% by 2030. According to the current electricity price, it will save the US $10 billion in expenses.
“I believe these are the best predictions based on current issues, but they are all based on the predictions—they will not consider the unknown,†said Howard P. Lewis, chairman of the National Directorate of General Administration of Light (Viscor Group) and chairman of the IES Board of Directors. The biggest unknown is "What will happen to the lighting industry after 16 years? It is highly probable that we are dealing with 'the next big thing'. However, we must bear in mind that manufacturers of alternative light sources have made great strides in improving product efficiency and longevity, especially in the field of fluorescent lighting. This means, more Multi-products and more types of products will continue to compete for efficiency, cost and functionality. This is a good thing." (This article is for the LTL submission test)
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